Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Cartusia Kartuzy

0 - 1

Lipno Steszew

Our Tip

Match Events

60'

Moczynski B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Cartusia Kartuzy and Lipno Steszew finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lipno Steszew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Cartusia Kartuzy

Draws

90%

Lipno Steszew

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lipno Steszew come out ahead of Cartusia Kartuzy on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Lipno Steszew taking it.
Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 16%

Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cartusia Kartuzy	Lipno Steszew
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	16
Draws	5	4
Losses	19	10
Goals Scored	0.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Cartusia Kartuzy vs Lipno Steszew

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Lipno Steszew vs Cartusia Kartuzy

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Moczynski B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartusia Kartuzy 10 / 100

Lipno Steszew 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cartusia Kartuzy Lipno Steszew

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipno Steszew let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Cartusia Kartuzy's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Cartusia Kartuzy went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartusia Kartuzy VS Lipno Steszew

0.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15