Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cartusia Kartuzy vs Nowe Skalmierzyce

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Manikowski M.
(Penalty)
66'
Majerz K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Cartusia Kartuzy and Nowe Skalmierzyce finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nowe Skalmierzyce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cartusia Kartuzy
6%
Draws
90%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nowe Skalmierzyce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nowe Skalmierzyce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nowe Skalmierzyce are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 16%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartusia Kartuzy Nowe Skalmierzyce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:0
May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartusia Kartuzy 10 / 100
Nowe Skalmierzyce 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartusia Kartuzy Nowe Skalmierzyce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nowe Skalmierzyce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cartusia Kartuzy scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Cartusia Kartuzy went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartusia Kartuzy VS Nowe Skalmierzyce
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartusia Kartuzy

(Home)
30 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 2
Zawisza
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Luzino
3 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
09 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
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Nowe Skalmierzyce

(Away)
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0
Blekitni Stargard
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)