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Caruaru vs Cha Grande - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Pernambucano 3
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 game between Caruaru and Cha Grande finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caruaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Caruaru
35%
Draws
9%
Cha Grande
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caruaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Caruaru carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caruaru's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Caruaru Clean Sheet 20%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caruaru Cha Grande
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Caruaru vs Cha Grande
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caruaru 85 / 100
Cha Grande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caruaru Cha Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caruaru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Cha Grande conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Caruaru stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Cha Grande's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caruaru VS Cha Grande
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 83%
13% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Caruaru

(Home)
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
Academica Vitoria
1 : 1
Caruaru
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Cha Grande

(Away)
02 Nov
Cha Grande
0 : 3
Belo Jardim
27 Oct
America PE
4 : 0
Cha Grande
19 Oct
Cha Grande
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE)
13 Oct
Caruaru
3 : 2
Cha Grande
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America PE 7 6 1 0 18:4 19
2 Caruaru 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
3 Aguia FC 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Belo Jardim 7 3 3 1 11:7 12
5 Pesqueira 7 1 5 1 3:4 8
6 Cha Grande 7 1 1 5 8:14 4
7 1º de Maio 7 1 1 5 6:16 4
8 Sete de Setembro (PE) 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)