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Caruaru vs Petrolina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caruaru in this Pernambucano 2 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caruaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Caruaru
35%
Draws
9%
Petrolina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caruaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Petrolina lately — more wins on the board than Caruaru.
  • Caruaru are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Caruaru have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Caruaru Clean Sheet 20%
Petrolina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caruaru Petrolina
Matches Played 36 44
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 12
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Pernambucano
Petrolina vs Caruaru
2:0
Oct 31, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Caruaru vs Petrolina
2:0
Sep 12, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Petrolina vs Caruaru
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caruaru 85 / 100
Petrolina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caruaru Petrolina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caruaru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolina let in goals in 70% of their last 44 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Caruaru went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Petrolina has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caruaru VS Petrolina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caruaru

(Home)
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
Academica Vitoria
1 : 1
Caruaru
Page 1 of 8

Petrolina

(Away)
22 Feb
Petrolina
1 : 3
Sport Recife
17 Feb
Jaguar
2 : 1
Petrolina
09 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 1
Retro
02 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 0
Central SC
30 Jan
Decisao
3 : 0
Petrolina
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caruaru 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 Ibis Sport Club 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Petrolina 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 America PE 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Campeonato Pernambucano 2022 (Main)