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Casa de Portugal vs Monte Carlo

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lam L. C.
27' Event
Ho C. F.
43' Event
Jackson

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2022 game between Casa de Portugal and Monte Carlo finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Casa de Portugal
6%
Draws
90%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monte Carlo come out ahead of Casa de Portugal on wins alone.
  • Monte Carlo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 19%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Monte Carlo
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Casa de Portugal
9:1
Jan 22, 2022 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Monte Carlo
0:6
Jul 31, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Monte Carlo
3:1
May 22, 2021 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Casa de Portugal
1:1
Oct 17, 2020 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Monte Carlo
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casa de Portugal Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lam L. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Monte Carlo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Monte Carlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Casa de Portugal's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Monte Carlo has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Monte Carlo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO16160095:448
2Monte Carlo16130383:1539
3Benfica16112354:1335
4Cheng Fung1681740:2525
5Tak Chun Ka I1653825:4818
6Lun Lok1653819:4518
7CFB Macau1635813:6314
8Sporting Macau1615109:458
9Casa de Portugal1601156:861
10Policia00000:00