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Casa de Portugal vs Policia

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2021 game between Casa de Portugal and Policia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Casa de Portugal
6%
Draws
90%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Casa de Portugal haven't matched Policia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Policia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 10%
Policia Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Policia
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 3 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 5.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Policia
0:0
Apr 18, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Casa de Portugal
0:0
Oct 23, 2020 Elite League
Policia vs Casa de Portugal
4:3
Jun 1, 2016 Elite League
Policia vs Casa de Portugal
2:2
Mar 5, 2016 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Policia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 10 / 100
Policia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Policia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Policia let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Casa de Portugal found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (32 games).

Policia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casa de Portugal VS Policia
0.25 Goals Scored 0
5.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa de Portugal

(Home)
04 Sept
Casa de Portugal
1 : 2
CFB Macau
11 Jun
Casa de Portugal
0 : 6
Tak Chun Ka I
04 Jun
Must IPO
9 : 0
Casa de Portugal
29 May
Casa de Portugal
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
14 May
Cheng Fung
4 : 0
Casa de Portugal
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Policia

(Away)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO181800115:454
2Benfica18150391:1545
3Tak Chun Ka I18112529:3035
4Cheng Fung18100840:4430
5Lun Lok1863926:5521
6Sporting Macau18621033:4520
7Policia1845917:3317
8Casa de Portugal18441022:6816
9Monte Carlo18261014:4612
10Hang Sai18221412:598
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)