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Casalarreina CF vs Arnedo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Arimany J.
23' Event
Chacon A.
41' Event
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between Casalarreina CF and Arnedo finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Casalarreina CF
40%
Draws
29%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Arnedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 10%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casalarreina CF Arnedo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 21
Draws 3 8
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 0 3.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Arnedo
0:4
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Casalarreina CF
7:1
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Arnedo
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Casalarreina CF
1:0
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Arnedo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casalarreina CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arimany J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chacon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casalarreina CF 30 / 100
Arnedo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casalarreina CF Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Casalarreina CF found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Casalarreina CF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Arnedo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arnedo
0 Goals Scored 3.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Casalarreina CF

(Home)
11 May
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 0
Casalarreina CF
04 May
Casalarreina CF
1 : 0
Autol
27 Apr
CD Tedeon
1 : 3
Casalarreina CF
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
13 Apr
Vianes
0 : 1
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

Arnedo

(Away)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naxara343031107:1293
2UD Logrones B34254591:2979
3Varea34208665:3568
4Arnedo34187964:3561
5Oyonesa341681052:3656
6CDFC La Calzada341591045:3154
7CD Calahorra B341213951:4349
8Pena Balsamaiso341451546:5247
9Yague3411121141:6645
10Agoncillo3410121236:4442
11Berceo341171640:4740
12Comillas CF341141940:5237
13Haro Deportivo34991632:5436
14Vianes34961930:4433
15Autol347101727:5831
16Casalarreina CF34842236:8828
17River Ebro34772029:5928
18CD Tedeon344102026:7322
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)