Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025

Casalarreina CF

1 - 2

Yague

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Gamarra I. O.

43'

Padin M.

76'

Berges A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between Casalarreina CF and Yague finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Casalarreina CF

Draws

Yague

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Casalarreina CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Yague's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Casalarreina CF have produced (0).
Model gives Casalarreina CF a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 20%

Yague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Casalarreina CF	Yague
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	7	7
Draws	3	15
Losses	20	11
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Casalarreina CF vs Yague

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Yague vs Casalarreina CF

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Yague vs Casalarreina CF

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:4

Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Casalarreina CF vs Yague

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Casalarreina CF vs Yague

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamarra I. O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Yague Compare

Top Goalscorer Padin M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Berges A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casalarreina CF 85 / 100

Yague 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Casalarreina CF Yague

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yague let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Casalarreina CF scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Casalarreina CF has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Yague

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Naxara	34	30	3	1	107:12	93
2	UD Logrones B	34	25	4	5	91:29	79
3	Varea	34	20	8	6	65:35	68
4	Arnedo	34	18	7	9	64:35	61
5	Oyonesa	34	16	8	10	52:36	56
6	CDFC La Calzada	34	15	9	10	45:31	54
7	CD Calahorra B	34	12	13	9	51:43	49
8	Pena Balsamaiso	34	14	5	15	46:52	47
9	Yague	34	11	12	11	41:66	45
10	Agoncillo	34	10	12	12	36:44	42
11	Berceo	34	11	7	16	40:47	40
12	Comillas CF	34	11	4	19	40:52	37
13	Haro Deportivo	34	9	9	16	32:54	36
14	Vianes	34	9	6	19	30:44	33
15	Autol	34	7	10	17	27:58	31
16	Casalarreina CF	34	8	4	22	36:88	28
17	River Ebro	34	7	7	20	29:59	28
18	CD Tedeon	34	4	10	20	26:73	22