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Casale vs Ligorna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Daidola G.
57' Event
Botta S.
75' Event
Donaggio L.

AI Match Summary

Ligorna in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Casale
35%
Draws
55%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Casale haven't matched Ligorna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Casale Clean Sheet 19%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casale Ligorna
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 1 25
Draws 5 11
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 0.5 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Ligorna
1:2
Oct 5, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Casale
0:0
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Ligorna
1:1
Mar 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Casale
1:1
Mar 29, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Ligorna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casale Compare

Top Goalscorer Daidola G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Botta S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donaggio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casale 12 / 100
Ligorna 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casale Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ligorna conceded in 65% of 40 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Casale scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Casale remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ligorna
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Casale

(Home)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
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Ligorna

(Away)
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)