Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Maiello R.
22'
22'
Sub
Perez L. In: Zanaboni E.
Out: Perez L.
45'
45'
Peschetola L.
AI Match Summary
Casarano in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casarano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Altamura
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Casarano have won more games recently than Altamura.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Casarano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Casarano Clean Sheet 27%
Altamura Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casarano | Altamura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.83 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Casarano
0:4
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Altamura
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Casarano vs Altamura
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Altamura vs Casarano
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Altamura
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Maiello R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92
Altamura Compare
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casarano 33 / 100
Altamura 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casarano Altamura
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Altamura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casarano's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Altamura let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Casarano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Casarano VS Altamura
2.38 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Casarano
(Home) 21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
06 Apr
Casarano
2 : 1 Potenza
29 Mar
Casarano
2 : 0 Giugliano
Page 1 of 3
Altamura
(Away) 16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2 Altamura
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4 Casarano
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Altamura
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1 Giugliano
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0 Altamura
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2 Altamura
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Altamura
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0 Altamura
23 Mar
Salernitana
2 : 1 Altamura
08 Mar
Cosenza
1 : 0 Altamura
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
