Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Karlsson O.
24'
24'
Karlsson O.
27'
27'
Spedalieri J.
AI Match Summary
Renate in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Renate have won more games recently than Casarano.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Renate arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Renate, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Casarano Clean Sheet 18%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casarano | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Casarano
0:3
May 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Casarano vs Renate
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casarano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Renate Compare
Top Goalscorer Karlsson O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casarano 36 / 100
Renate 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casarano Renate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Renate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Casarano scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Renate conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Casarano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Casarano VS Renate
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Casarano
(Home) 20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5 Casarano
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
06 Apr
Casarano
2 : 1 Potenza
29 Mar
Casarano
2 : 0 Giugliano
Page 1 of 3
Renate
(Away) 15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0 Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
19 Apr
Trento
3 : 3 Renate
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0 Renate
15 Mar
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
