Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casarano vs San Giorgio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mancini A.
35' Event
Tedesco E.
65'
Di Pietro A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between Casarano and San Giorgio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Casarano
30%
Draws
29%
San Giorgio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Casarano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Casarano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%
San Giorgio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casarano San Giorgio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.53 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs San Giorgio
1:1
Dec 8, 2021 Serie D - Group H
San Giorgio vs Casarano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Tedesco E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

San Giorgio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casarano 95 / 100
San Giorgio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casarano San Giorgio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casarano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casarano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

San Giorgio has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Casarano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Casarano VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casarano

(Home)
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
Page 1 of 6

San Giorgio

(Away)
29 May
A.C.D. Nardo
5 : 1
San Giorgio
22 May
Casertana
0 : 1
San Giorgio
15 May
San Giorgio
1 : 6
Audace Cerignola
08 May
Gravina
1 : 1
San Giorgio
04 May
San Giorgio
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)