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Cascade Surge vs Abbotsford Mariners

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USL Premier Development League 2007
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2007 game between Cascade Surge and Abbotsford Mariners finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cascade Surge
20%
Draws
0%
Abbotsford Mariners
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cascade Surge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abbotsford Mariners come out ahead of Cascade Surge on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cascade Surge taking it.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cascade Surge Clean Sheet 20%
Abbotsford Mariners Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cascade Surge Abbotsford Mariners
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.5 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2009 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Cascade Surge
1:1
Jul 5, 2008 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Cascade Surge
4:0
Jun 8, 2008 USL League Two
Cascade Surge vs Abbotsford Mariners
0:5
Jul 14, 2007 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Cascade Surge
4:0
Jul 7, 2007 USL League Two
Cascade Surge vs Abbotsford Mariners
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cascade Surge 76 / 100
Abbotsford Mariners 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cascade Surge Abbotsford Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cascade Surge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abbotsford Mariners has conceded goals in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Abbotsford Mariners's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cascade Surge's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Abbotsford Mariners
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cascade Surge

(Home)
19 Jul
Yakima Reds
1 : 1
Cascade Surge
16 Jul
Cascade Surge
2 : 4
Sound FC
12 Jul
Cascade Surge
0 : 3
Crossfire Redmond
05 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
2 : 0
Cascade Surge
04 Jul
Abbotsford Mariners
1 : 1
Cascade Surge
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Abbotsford Mariners

(Away)
12 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
2 : 1
Abbotsford Mariners
08 Jul
Sound FC
1 : 0
Abbotsford Mariners
02 Jul
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 1
Victoria Highlanders FC
30 Jun
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 2
Portland Timbers 3
21 Jun
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
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