Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Rocchi G.
63'
63'
Sub
Piovanello E. In: Bentivegna A.
Out: Piovanello E.
63'
63'
Sub
Castelli D. In: Colley M.
Out: Castelli D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C game between Casertana and Altamura finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casertana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Casertana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Casertana carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Casertana a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Casertana Clean Sheet 68%
Altamura Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casertana | Altamura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Altamura
1:0
Jan 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Casertana
0:2
Aug 25, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Altamura
3:1
Mar 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Casertana
2:0
Oct 31, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Altamura
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casertana Compare
Top Goalscorer Colley M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Altamura Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casertana 95 / 100
Altamura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casertana Altamura
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casertana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casertana scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Altamura has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Casertana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Casertana VS Altamura
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Casertana
(Home) 03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0 Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2 Scafatese
22 Aug
Casertana
3 : 3 Barletta
14 Aug
Casertana
1 : 2 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 4
Altamura
(Away) 04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Altamura
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0 Altamura
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1 Picerno
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3 Bari
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Altamura
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0 Altamura
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
29 Aug
Inter U23
1 : 1 Altamura
16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2 Altamura
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 2 | Sorrento | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Bari | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Catania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Salernitana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Monopoli | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Picerno | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 12 |
| 8 | Casertana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 10 | Foggia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Cavese | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 12 | Scafatese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Inter U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Casarano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Altamura | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
| 16 | A.C. Savoia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 17 | Barletta | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
