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Casertana vs Pomezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Tringali S.
39' Event
Casoli G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Casertana and Pomezia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casertana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Casertana
15%
Draws
39%
Pomezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casertana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casertana come out ahead of Pomezia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Casertana a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Casertana Clean Sheet 20%
Pomezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casertana Pomezia
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.45 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Casertana vs Pomezia
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Pomezia vs Casertana
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casertana Compare

Top Goalscorer Tringali S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casoli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Pomezia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casertana 67 / 100
Pomezia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casertana Pomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casertana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pomezia let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Casertana scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Casertana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casertana VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casertana

(Home)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3
Casertana
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Pomezia

(Away)
21 May
Angri
3 : 0
Pomezia
14 May
SS Nola 1925
0 : 1
Pomezia
07 May
Pomezia
2 : 5
SS Nola 1925
30 Apr
Paganese
2 : 0
Pomezia
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)