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Cashmere Technical vs Christchurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Christchurch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Cashmere Technical
15%
Draws
31%
Christchurch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Cashmere Technical carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Cashmere Technical taking it.
  • Cashmere Technical have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Christchurch, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 20%
Christchurch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cashmere Technical Christchurch
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 20 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.75 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2023 National League
Christchurch vs Cashmere Technical
2:4
Jul 9, 2023 Chatham Cup
Cashmere Technical vs Christchurch
0:3
Nov 25, 2022 National League
Christchurch vs Cashmere Technical
4:1
Jul 10, 2021 Chatham Cup
Cashmere Technical vs Christchurch
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cashmere Technical 85 / 100
Christchurch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cashmere Technical Christchurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cashmere Technical scored in 94% of their last 36 games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Christchurch conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Cashmere Technical went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cashmere Technical VS Christchurch
4.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cashmere Technical

(Home)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
27 Sept
Birkenhead
0 : 4
Cashmere Technical
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
Page 1 of 8

Christchurch

(Away)
05 Mar
Coastal Spirit
0 : 0
Christchurch
19 Feb
Nomads United
2 : 1
Christchurch
29 Nov
Christchurch
1 : 4
Auckland FC 2
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 0
Melville 2
Western Springs 3
Auckland City 2
Roslyn Wakari 4
Wanaka FC 3
Napier City 0
Waterside Karori 3
Hamilton 3
Ngaruawahia AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 0
Christchurch 3
Petone 0
Wellington Olympic 5
Birkenhead 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Quarter-finals
Melville 1
Western Springs 0
Roslyn Wakari 2
Waterside Karori 5
Hamilton 0
Christchurch 3
Wellington Olympic 2
Eastern Suburbs 3
Semi-finals
Melville 3
Waterside Karori 1
Christchurch 2
Eastern Suburbs 1
Final
Melville 2
Christchurch 3