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Cashmere Technical vs Coastal Spirit

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cashmere Technical play Coastal Spirit in the National League 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cashmere Technical averaged 2.18 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. Coastal Spirit averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Cashmere Technical won 0, Coastal Spirit won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.09 for Cashmere Technical and 0.78 for Coastal Spirit. This points to a Cashmere Technical double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cashmere Technical
16%
Draws
38%
Coastal Spirit
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Cashmere Technical picked up more points recently compared to Coastal Spirit.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.09 vs 0.78 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 26%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cashmere Technical Coastal Spirit
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.18 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.80 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Coastal Spirit vs Cashmere Technical
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Coastal Spirit
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cashmere Technical Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlan G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caughey F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cashmere Technical 47 / 100
Coastal Spirit 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cashmere Technical Coastal Spirit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cashmere Technical or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cashmere Technical attacking → ← attacking Coastal Spirit

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cashmere Technical scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Coastal Spirit let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cashmere Technical went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coastal Spirit lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 29
1.80 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Birkenhead962123:1620
2Auckland City961220:1019
3Western Springs960325:1618
4Napier City952221:1417
5Wellington Phoenix 2941416:1913
6Wellington Olympic932417:1511
7Coastal Spirit932418:2011
8Cashmere Technical923416:189
9Eastern Suburbs91268:175
10Western Suburbs91179:284