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Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Coughlan G.
4' Event
Matthysen L.
14' Event
Coughlan G.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Cashmere Technical and Wellington Phoenix 2 finished 10-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cashmere Technical.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Cashmere Technical
15%
Draws
21%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cashmere Technical carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cashmere Technical are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 20%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cashmere Technical Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.71 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2
10:0
Oct 6, 2024 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2
0:4
Oct 20, 2023 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cashmere Technical Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlan G.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Matthysen L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cashmere Technical 85 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cashmere Technical Wellington Phoenix 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cashmere Technical's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cashmere Technical remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cashmere Technical VS Wellington Phoenix 2
4.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cashmere Technical

(Home)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
27 Sept
Birkenhead
0 : 4
Cashmere Technical
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
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Wellington Phoenix 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 14:0 6
2 Auckland United 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
3 Miramar 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Ferrymead Bays 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Auckland City 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
6 Wellington Olympic 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
7 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
8 Napier City 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
9 Wellington Phoenix 2 2 0 1 1 1:11 1
10 Auckland FC 2 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
11 Birkenhead 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)