Sport Picks

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Cassino vs Aprilia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ingretolli C.

AI Match Summary

Cassino in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cassino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Cassino
30%
Draws
58%
Aprilia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aprilia haven't matched Cassino's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Aprilia taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cassino Clean Sheet 17%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cassino Aprilia
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 10
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.71 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Aprilia
1:0
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Cassino
0:1
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Cassino
1:1
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Aprilia
0:2
Mar 29, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Aprilia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cassino Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingretolli C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Aprilia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cassino 20 / 100
Aprilia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cassino Aprilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aprilia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Cassino scored in 59% of their last 41 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Cassino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cassino VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cassino

(Home)
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
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Aprilia

(Away)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)