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Cassino vs Nuova Florida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Abreu L.
75' Event
Mazzaroppi S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 game between Cassino and Nuova Florida finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cassino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cassino
20%
Draws
64%
Nuova Florida
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nuova Florida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nuova Florida come out ahead of Cassino on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nuova Florida's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cassino Clean Sheet 17%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cassino Nuova Florida
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.95 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Nuova Florida
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Cassino
1:1
Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Nuova Florida
1:1
Oct 17, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Cassino
2:1
Jun 9, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Cassino
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cassino Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazzaroppi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Nuova Florida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cassino 28 / 100
Nuova Florida 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cassino Nuova Florida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nuova Florida Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cassino found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (39 games).

Defensive concern: Nuova Florida conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Nuova Florida registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cassino VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cassino

(Home)
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Page 1 of 8

Nuova Florida

(Away)
12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2
Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3
Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2
Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0
Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavese 34 24 6 4 57:24 78
2 Nocerina 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
3 Romana 34 17 10 7 50:33 61
4 Ischia 34 16 12 6 42:25 60
5 Cassino 34 16 10 8 39:22 58
6 Flaminia 34 12 14 8 42:36 50
7 Ostiamare 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
8 Cynthialbalonga 34 12 11 11 44:37 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:50 46
10 San Marzano 34 10 13 11 36:36 43
11 Trastevere Calcio 34 10 8 16 41:50 38
12 Atletico Uri 34 10 7 17 30:48 37
13 Latte Dolce 34 9 10 15 32:42 37
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 9 8 17 38:59 35
15 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
16 Nuova Florida 34 9 12 13 36:44 33
17 Boreale 34 4 15 15 20:44 27
18 Budoni Calcio 34 5 11 18 27:49 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)