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Cassino vs Valmontone

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cali A.
63' Event
Mikhaylovsky V.

AI Match Summary

Valmontone in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmontone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Cassino
15%
Draws
78%
Valmontone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmontone lately — more wins on the board than Cassino.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Valmontone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cassino Clean Sheet 20%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cassino Valmontone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Valmontone
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Cassino
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cassino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer Cali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikhaylovsky V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cassino 10 / 100
Valmontone 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cassino Valmontone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmontone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Valmontone let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Cassino found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Cassino stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cassino VS Valmontone
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cassino

(Home)
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Page 1 of 6

Valmontone

(Away)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)