Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Libertazzi A.
19'
19'
Varano F.
30'
30'
Manfre S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Castanese and AC Chieri finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Chieri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Castanese haven't matched AC Chieri's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Castanese Clean Sheet 20%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castanese | AC Chieri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.05 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Castanese vs AC Chieri
3:3
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Castanese
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castanese Compare
Top Goalscorer Manfre S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Battistello A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
AC Chieri Compare
Top Goalscorer Libertazzi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Varano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castanese 32 / 100
AC Chieri 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castanese AC Chieri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Castanese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
AC Chieri let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.
Castanese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS AC Chieri
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Castanese
(Home) 14 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 0 Castanese
07 May
Ligorna
2 : 1 Castanese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1 Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Vado
2 : 0 Castanese
16 Apr
Castanese
3 : 3 AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1 Stresa Vergante
16 Apr
Castanese
3 : 3 AC Chieri
02 Apr
Castanese
2 : 1 PDHA
12 Mar
Castanese
1 : 0 Derthona FbC
26 Feb
Castanese
2 : 2 Asti Calcio
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AC Chieri
(Away) 11 May
Cairese
2 : 0 AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1 Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1 AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2 Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1 AC Chieri
Page 1 of 8
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0 AC Chieri
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1 AC Chieri
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1 AC Chieri
30 Mar
Vogherese
0 : 0 AC Chieri
09 Mar
Cairese
0 : 0 AC Chieri
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 77:29 | 94 |
| 2 | Sanremese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:33 | 74 |
| 3 | Bra | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:31 | 74 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:40 | 69 |
| 5 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Legnano | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 53:35 | 60 |
| 7 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 44:35 | 57 |
| 8 | Gozzano | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 51:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 54:54 | 52 |
| 10 | PDHA | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 51:55 | 46 |
| 12 | AC Chieri | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:45 | 45 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Chisola | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 38:44 | 42 |
| 16 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 55:62 | 42 |
| 17 | Castanese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43:57 | 39 |
| 18 | Stresa Vergante | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37:47 | 34 |
| 19 | Casale | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28:79 | 24 |
| 20 | Fossano | 38 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 40:80 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)
