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Castanhal U20 vs Castelo dos Sonhos U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paraense U20 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense U20 2024 game between Castanhal U20 and Castelo dos Sonhos U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castanhal U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Castanhal U20
30%
Draws
12%
Castelo dos Sonhos U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castanhal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castanhal U20 come out ahead of Castelo dos Sonhos U20 on wins alone.
  • Castanhal U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Castanhal U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Castelo dos Sonhos U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castanhal U20 Castelo dos Sonhos U20
Matches Played 18 6
Wins 7 0
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.67 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2024 Paraense U20
Castanhal U20 vs Castelo dos Sonhos U20
3:1
Oct 15, 2024 Paraense U20
Castelo dos Sonhos U20 vs Castanhal U20
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castanhal U20 85 / 100
Castelo dos Sonhos U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castanhal U20 Castelo dos Sonhos U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castanhal U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castanhal U20 scored in 83% of their last 18 games.

Castelo dos Sonhos U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Castanhal U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castanhal U20 VS Castelo dos Sonhos U20
1.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Castanhal U20

(Home)
18 Jan
Paysandu PA U20
3 : 1
Castanhal U20
11 Jan
Castanhal U20
1 : 1
Paysandu PA U20
27 Nov
Castanhal U20
3 : 2
Real Naval U20
23 Nov
Real Naval U20
1 : 1
Castanhal U20
09 Nov
Meninos de Ouro U20
4 : 1
Castanhal U20
Page 1 of 4

Castelo dos Sonhos U20

(Away)
12 Nov
Castelo dos Sonhos U20
1 : 3
Real Naval U20
31 Oct
Castanhal U20
3 : 1
Castelo dos Sonhos U20
27 Oct
Meninos de Ouro U20
3 : 0
Castelo dos Sonhos U20
19 Oct
Castelo dos Sonhos U20
1 : 1
Meninos de Ouro U20
15 Oct
Castelo dos Sonhos U20
1 : 4
Castanhal U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso U20 5 4 0 1 35:2 12
2 Maracana Taua U20 5 3 1 1 25:5 10
3 Belenense U20 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
4 Pinheirense U20 5 2 2 1 18:7 8
5 Comercial PA U20 5 1 0 4 4:29 3
6 Terra Alta U20 5 0 0 5 1:50 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA U20 5 4 1 0 23:3 13
2 Sport Belem U20 5 4 0 1 11:1 12
3 Venus U20 5 2 1 2 11:5 7
4 Uniao Barbarense U20 5 1 2 2 9:11 5
5 Boca Junior U20 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
6 Ponte Nova U20 5 0 0 5 3:33 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo U20 6 6 0 0 27:6 18
2 CRT-23 Benevides U20 6 5 0 1 21:5 15
3 Craques do Futuro U20 6 3 1 2 33:11 10
4 Atletico Barbarense U20 6 2 1 3 10:21 7
5 Atletico JM9 U20 6 1 1 4 8:24 4
6 Trabalhista U20 6 1 1 4 9:28 4
7 CA Vila Rica U20 6 1 0 5 12:25 3
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fonte Nova U20 6 6 0 0 16:4 18
2 Juventude Barcarenense U20 6 5 0 1 23:2 15
3 Bragantino PA U20 6 3 0 3 10:9 9
4 Estrela PA U20 6 2 1 3 9:17 7
5 Cruzeirao U20 6 2 1 3 7:16 7
6 Tiradentes PA U20 6 2 0 4 15:13 6
7 ESMAC U20 6 0 0 6 5:24 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castanhal U20 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
2 Real Naval U20 6 4 0 2 13:10 12
3 Meninos de Ouro U20 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
4 Castelo dos Sonhos U20 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba U20 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 EC Tailandia U20 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Tailandia AC U20 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)