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Castanhal U20 vs CSA U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Marquinhos Brazion
32' Event
Santos J.
38' Event
Joao Cabral

AI Match Summary

CSA U20 in this Copa do Brasil U20 2019 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Castanhal U20
20%
Draws
51%
CSA U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CSA U20 have won more games recently than Castanhal U20.
  • Model gives CSA U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • CSA U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSA U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Castanhal U20 Clean Sheet 18%
CSA U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castanhal U20 CSA U20
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 7 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.67 2.87
Goals Conceded 1.78 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2019 Copa do Brasil U20
Castanhal U20 vs CSA U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castanhal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquinhos Brazion
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dantas T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

CSA U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Cabral
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castanhal U20 10 / 100
CSA U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castanhal U20 CSA U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSA U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castanhal U20 scored in 83% of their last 18 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Castanhal U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CSA U20 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CSA U20
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castanhal U20

(Home)
18 Jan
Paysandu PA U20
3 : 1
Castanhal U20
11 Jan
Castanhal U20
1 : 1
Paysandu PA U20
27 Nov
Castanhal U20
3 : 2
Real Naval U20
23 Nov
Real Naval U20
1 : 1
Castanhal U20
09 Nov
Meninos de Ouro U20
4 : 1
Castanhal U20
Page 1 of 4

CSA U20

(Away)
08 Oct
CSA U20
0 : 1
Santa Cruz U20
03 Oct
CSA U20
3 : 0
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20
27 Sept
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20
1 : 0
CSA U20
19 Sept
CSA U20
4 : 2
Rio Largo U20
15 Sept
Rio Largo U20
0 : 2
CSA U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vasco U20 3
CSP U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 2
Tubarao U20 3
Fast Clube U20 4
Bahia U20 1
Marilia FC U20 1
America MG U20 2
Gremio U20 5
Capital FC U20 0
Castanhal U20 2
CSA U20 3
Coritiba U20 5
Sete de Dourados U20 1
Galvez U20 1
Palmeiras U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Confianca U20 1
Cuiaba U20 1
Goias U20 2
Chapecoense-SC U20 4
Serra U20 0
River-PI U20 1
Corinthians U20 5
Internacional U20 2
Trem U20 0
CA Porto U20 1
America RN U20 2
Real Ariquemes U20 2
Horizonte U20 1
Ceilandia U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 4
1/8-finals
Vasco U20 4
Tubarao U20 1
Fast Clube U20 0
America MG U20 3
Gremio U20 7
CSA U20 0
Coritiba U20 2
Palmeiras U20 7
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Goias U20 2
Chapecoense-SC U20 0
Corinthians U20 7
Internacional U20 5
America RN U20 1
Real Ariquemes U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 14
Quarter-finals
Vasco U20 3
America MG U20 1
Gremio U20 3
Palmeiras U20 4
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 2
Corinthians U20 0
Internacional U20 1
Flamengo RJ U20 4
Semi-finals
Vasco U20 3
Palmeiras U20 4
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 5
Flamengo RJ U20 2
Final
Palmeiras U20 6
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 5