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AI Match Summary
Castanhal in this Copa Grao Para 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Capitao Poco lately — more wins on the board than Castanhal.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Capitao Poco taking it.
- Capitao Poco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Capitao Poco, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castanhal | Capitao Poco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castanhal Compare
Capitao Poco Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castanhal's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Capitao Poco has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Castanhal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.