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Castegnato vs Cjarlins Muzane

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bertazzoli A.
89' Event
Belcastro L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Castegnato
11%
Draws
80%
Cjarlins Muzane
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Cjarlins Muzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Castegnato haven't matched Cjarlins Muzane's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cjarlins Muzane a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Castegnato Clean Sheet 24%
Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castegnato Cjarlins Muzane
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Castegnato vs Cjarlins Muzane
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Castegnato
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castegnato Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertazzoli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Belcastro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castegnato 13 / 100
Cjarlins Muzane 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castegnato Cjarlins Muzane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CJA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castegnato's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cjarlins Muzane has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Castegnato stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cjarlins Muzane
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clodiense34255449:1780
2Dolomiti Bellunesi34199656:2566
3Treviso341931251:3760
4Bassano Virtus341591035:3054
5Campodarsego341215742:2651
6Este341312944:3351
7Montecchio Maggiore341491148:4051
8Adriese3413111054:4150
9Portogruaro341391252:4348
10Mestre341391234:3748
11Montebelluna3411121135:4145
12Chions3410111340:5041
13Luparense FC341091538:4139
14Breno348131339:4937
15Cjarlins Muzane347141330:3735
16Castegnato347121539:5833
17Virtus Bolzano344121825:5224
18Mori34362522:7615