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Castellanzese vs Inveruno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Chessa M.
77' Event
Rudi D.
86' Event
De Maria V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2019/2020 game between Castellanzese and Inveruno finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellanzese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Castellanzese
15%
Draws
26%
Inveruno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellanzese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Inveruno haven't matched Castellanzese's recent run of results.
  • Castellanzese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 20%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellanzese Inveruno
Matches Played 37 19
Wins 12 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Inveruno
2:1
Sep 11, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Castellanzese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellanzese Compare

Top Goalscorer Chessa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rudi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Inveruno Compare

Top Goalscorer De Maria V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellanzese 85 / 100
Inveruno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellanzese Inveruno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellanzese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Inveruno conceded in 100% of 19 recent games.

Castellanzese's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Castellanzese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castellanzese VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellanzese

(Home)
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0
Crema
20 Sept
Solbiatese
1 : 4
Castellanzese
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
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Inveruno

(Away)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
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