Sport Picks
Castellanzese vs Legnano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 
Match Events
55'
55'
Arrigoni M.
55'
55'
Arrigoni M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Castellanzese and Legnano finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellanzese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castellanzese come out ahead of Legnano on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Castellanzese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 68%
Legnano Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castellanzese | Legnano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Castellanzese
0:5
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Legnano
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Castellanzese
2:1
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Castellanzese vs Legnano
0:3
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Legnano vs Castellanzese
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castellanzese 95 / 100
Legnano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castellanzese Legnano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castellanzese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castellanzese found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).
Defensive concern: Legnano conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Castellanzese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Castellanzese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castellanzese
(Home) 04 Oct
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2 Castellanzese
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0 Crema
20 Sept
Solbiatese
1 : 4 Castellanzese
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1 Oltrepo
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0 Crema
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1 Oltrepo
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2 Varesina
26 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 3 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 4
Legnano
(Away) 12 May
Legnano
0 : 5 Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3 Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1 USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1 Varesina
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3 Legnano
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Legnano
07 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 0 Legnano
24 Mar
Castellanzese
0 : 0 Legnano
10 Mar
Piacenza
2 : 1 Legnano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
