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Stadium Background

Castellazzo vs Olginatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between Castellazzo and Olginatese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olginatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Castellazzo
35%
Draws
47%
Olginatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Olginatese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Olginatese a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 20%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellazzo Olginatese
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Olginatese
0:1
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Olginatese vs Castellazzo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellazzo 20 / 100
Olginatese 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellazzo Olginatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Castellazzo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Castellazzo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Castellazzo VS Olginatese
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellazzo

(Home)
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0
Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2
Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0
Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2
Castellazzo
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Olginatese

(Away)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)