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Castellazzo vs Varesina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varesina in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varesina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Castellazzo
35%
Draws
37%
Varesina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varesina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varesina lately — more wins on the board than Castellazzo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 20%
Varesina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellazzo Varesina
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Varesina
0:2
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varesina vs Castellazzo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellazzo 32 / 100
Varesina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellazzo Varesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varesina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellazzo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Varesina conceded in 78% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Castellazzo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castellazzo VS Varesina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellazzo

(Home)
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0
Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2
Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0
Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2
Castellazzo
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Varesina

(Away)
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2
Varesina
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)