Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Suero I.
Assist: Garcia A.
6'
6'
Okoro C.
46'
46'
Sub
Okoro C. In: Illescas M.
Out: Okoro C.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga2 game between Castellon and AD Ceuta finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castellon come out ahead of AD Ceuta on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Castellon taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castellon | AD Ceuta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 LaLiga2
Castellon vs AD Ceuta
1:1
May 9, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Castellon
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs AD Ceuta
3:3
Feb 11, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Castellon vs AD Ceuta
2:2
Oct 15, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
AD Ceuta vs Castellon
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castellon Compare
Top Goalscorer Suero I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
AD Ceuta Compare
Top Goalscorer Escobar J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castellon 85 / 100
AD Ceuta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castellon AD Ceuta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castellon scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
AD Ceuta let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Castellon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castellon VS AD Ceuta
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Castellon
(Home) 04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1 AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2 Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0 Albacete
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1 AD Ceuta
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0 Albacete
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0 Sabadell
08 Aug
Castellon
1 : 3 Levante
Page 1 of 3
AD Ceuta
(Away) 04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1 AD Ceuta
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1 AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1 AD Ceuta
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1 AD Ceuta
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 AD Ceuta
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1 AD Ceuta
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3 AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Castellon | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada CF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
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