Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Camara O.
21'
21'
Kouame R.
37'
37'
Sub
Recio I. In: Kovacevic B.
Out: Recio I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
20%
9%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castellon lately — more wins on the board than Cadiz.
- 71% — that's where the model lands on Castellon taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Castellon Clean Sheet 68%
Cadiz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castellon | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Cadiz
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Castellon
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Castellon
0:0
Sep 9, 2024 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Cadiz
1:3
Apr 4, 2010 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Castellon
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castellon Compare
Top Goalscorer Cipenga B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Cadiz Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castellon 95 / 100
Cadiz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castellon Cadiz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castellon found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Cadiz has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Castellon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Castellon VS Cadiz
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Castellon
(Home) 28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2 Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0 Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2 Castellon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0 Albacete
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0 Sabadell
08 Aug
Castellon
1 : 3 Levante
18 Jul
Castellon
2 : 0 Sabadell
Page 1 of 3
Cadiz
(Away) 26 Sept
Tenerife
1 : 1 Cadiz
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2 Girona
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1 Las Palmas
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2 Cadiz
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1 Valladolid
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tenerife
1 : 1 Cadiz
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2 Cadiz
22 Aug
Eldense
2 : 2 Cadiz
01 Aug
Tenerife
2 : 3 Cadiz
15 Jul
Barbate
0 : 7 Cadiz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 82 |
| 2 | Dep. A Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 73 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 73 |
| 6 | Castellon | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 72 |
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 67 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | 61 |
| 10 | Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 59 |
| 13 | FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | 47 |
| 16 | Leganes | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | 43 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | 40 |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 21 | Leonesa | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | 37 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | 36 |
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