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Castellon vs Denia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Castellon
35%
Draws
21%
Denia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Castellon have won more games recently than Denia.
  • Model gives Castellon a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Castellon have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%
Denia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Denia
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs Denia
2:0
Oct 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Denia vs Castellon
0:0
Jan 30, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon vs Denia
4:0
Sep 19, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Denia vs Castellon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 85 / 100
Denia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Denia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Denia let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Castellon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 8

Denia

(Away)
17 Aug
Denia
2 : 1
Levante B
18 May
CD Llosa
1 : 1
Denia
12 May
Denia
0 : 0
Ilicitano
05 May
Borriol
2 : 0
Denia
01 May
Denia
1 : 1
La Nucia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)