Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castellon vs Eibar

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Calatrava A.
49'
Bernat J.
57' Event
Corpas J.

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Castellon
33%
Draws
40%
Eibar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Eibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellon haven't matched Eibar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Eibar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Castellon Clean Sheet 17%
Eibar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Eibar
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Eibar
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Castellon
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Eibar
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Castellon
1:0
Jun 14, 2009 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Eibar
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Calatrava A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suero I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Corpas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 28 / 100
Eibar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Eibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castellon scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Castellon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Eibar let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS Eibar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0
Castellon
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2
Castellon
18 Jul
Castellon
2 : 0
Sabadell
09 Jun
Almeria
3 : 2
Castellon
Page 1 of 7

Eibar

(Away)
01 Aug
Eibar
5 : 0
Arenas Getxo
29 Jul
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Eibar
25 Jul
Ath Bilbao
2 : 2
Eibar
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1
Eibar
31 May
Castellon
2 : 1
Eibar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)