Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castellon vs Eibar

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
Castellon Logo

Castellon

2 - 1
FT
Eibar Logo

Eibar

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Calatrava A.
49'
Bernat J.
57' Event
Corpas J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Castellon
15%
Draws
46%
Eibar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Castellon haven't matched Eibar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Castellon's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Castellon Clean Sheet 15%
Eibar Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Eibar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.69 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Eibar
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Castellon
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Eibar
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Castellon
1:0
Jun 14, 2009 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Eibar
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Calatrava A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suero I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Corpas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 35 / 100
Eibar 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Eibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castellon scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Castellon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Eibar let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS Eibar
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 6

Eibar

(Away)
19 Sept
Eldense
1 : 2
Eibar
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
06 Sept
Eibar
3 : 0
Granada CF
30 Aug
FC Andorra
0 : 1
Eibar
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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