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Castellon vs Sabadell

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Garcia A.
41' Event
Ferrer Alarte M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Castellon and Sabadell finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Castellon
30%
Draws
43%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Castellon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sabadell's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castellon Clean Sheet 16%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Sabadell
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Castellon vs Sabadell
2:0
Apr 16, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Castellon
3:1
Sep 4, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Castellon vs Sabadell
3:1
Mar 12, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Castellon
1:3
Dec 19, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Castellon vs Sabadell
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrer Alarte M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sabadell Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 15 / 100
Sabadell 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Sabadell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Castellon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sabadell's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS Sabadell
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
08 Aug
Castellon
1 : 3
Levante
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0
Castellon
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2
Castellon
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Sabadell

(Away)
09 Aug
Olot
0 : 3
Sabadell
07 Aug
Girona
2 : 2
Sabadell
01 Aug
FC Andorra
0 : 0
Sabadell
31 Jul
Sabadell
1 : 0
Inter Escaldes
29 Jul
Sabadell
2 : 1
CE Manresa
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