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Castellon vs Torrevieja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016 game between Castellon and Torrevieja finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torrevieja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Castellon
15%
Draws
0%
Torrevieja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castellon come out ahead of Torrevieja on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Castellon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%
Torrevieja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Torrevieja
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 19 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.66 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs Torrevieja
1:2
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Torrevieja vs Castellon
0:3
Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs Torrevieja
1:2
Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Torrevieja vs Castellon
0:1
Mar 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs Torrevieja
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 85 / 100
Torrevieja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Torrevieja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castellon scored in 94% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Torrevieja conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Castellon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Torrevieja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
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Torrevieja

(Away)
31 Aug
Torrellano
2 : 0
Torrevieja
07 Feb
CSKA Moscow
7 : 0
Torrevieja
11 Jan
Antwerp
4 : 0
Torrevieja
13 May
Torrevieja
1 : 4
Borriol
07 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Torrevieja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Saguntino 38 25 7 6 62:25 82
2 Ontinyent 38 23 5 10 62:39 74
3 Castellon 38 19 10 9 60:41 67
4 Ilicitano 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
5 Villarreal C 38 15 16 7 64:43 61
6 Alzira 38 18 6 14 57:50 60
7 Orihuela 38 16 8 14 50:46 56
8 Novelda CF 38 15 10 13 51:39 55
9 Rayo Ibense 38 15 10 13 38:40 55
10 Torre Levante 38 13 14 11 43:35 53
11 Crevillente 38 13 12 13 41:37 51
12 Torrevieja 38 14 9 15 46:47 51
13 Muro 38 13 10 15 44:51 49
14 Paterna 38 10 12 16 38:53 42
15 Catarroja CF 38 13 3 22 42:61 42
16 Borriol 38 10 10 18 36:51 40
17 CD Bunol 38 9 12 17 22:43 39
18 Espanol de San Vicente 38 8 14 16 34:48 38
19 UD Beniganim 38 7 12 19 41:66 33
20 Acero 38 5 10 23 28:69 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)