Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda Division Women Estadio Municipal de Castalia

Albacete W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Castellon W play Albacete W in the Segunda Division Women. Albacete W are favorites here. Recently, Castellon W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Albacete W averaged 1.51 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Castellon W won 0, Albacete W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 24, 2022 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Castellon W and 4.00 for Albacete W. This points to a Albacete W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Castellon W

26%

Draws

58%

Albacete W

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Albacete W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Castellon W picked up more points recently compared to Albacete W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 4.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Castellon W Clean Sheet 10%

Albacete W Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Castellon W	Albacete W
Matches Played	30	51
Wins	4	20
Draws	5	16
Losses	21	15
Goals Scored	0.73	1.51
Goals Conceded	2.7	1.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	8.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Segunda Division Women

Castellon W vs Albacete W

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

0:4

Feb 20, 2022 Segunda Division Women

Albacete W vs Castellon W

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon W 16 / 100

Albacete W 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Castellon W Albacete W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albacete W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Albacete W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Castellon W attacking → ← attacking Albacete W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Albacete W let in goals in 69% of their last 51 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Castellon W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Albacete W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 76

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

8.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Badalona W	30	19	5	6	64:37	62
2	Espanyol W	30	17	7	6	50:34	58
3	CA Osasuna W	30	17	6	7	56:33	57
4	Logrono Dux W	30	15	8	7	48:33	53
5	Barcelona B W	30	16	3	11	52:32	51
6	Dep. A Coruna W	30	15	6	9	49:29	51
7	SE AEM W	30	15	5	10	46:39	50
8	Real Oviedo W	30	14	4	12	38:36	46
9	Zaragoza CFF W	30	13	4	13	45:45	43
10	Athletic Bilbao B W	30	11	6	13	45:41	39
11	CD Parquesol CF W	30	11	5	14	41:51	38
12	Racing Santander W	30	10	8	12	37:44	38
13	Pradejon W	30	8	6	16	32:54	30
14	Atl. Madrid B W	30	9	3	18	35:60	30
15	Gijon W	30	6	5	19	33:53	23
16	Seagull W	30	2	3	25	23:73	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alhama W	30	18	8	4	65:33	62
2	Cacereno W	30	15	8	7	53:39	53
3	Granada CF W	30	16	5	9	46:31	53
4	CD Juan Grande W	30	14	9	7	41:32	51
5	Granadilla Tenerife B W	30	14	5	11	36:33	47
6	Albacete W	30	14	5	11	62:51	47
7	Madrid CFF B W	30	13	7	10	54:46	46
8	Cordoba W	30	13	6	11	42:34	45
9	Santa Teresa W	30	10	14	6	38:30	44
10	Femarguin W	30	10	7	13	48:49	37
11	Real Union W	30	8	12	10	35:41	36
12	Pozoalbense W	30	8	9	13	40:57	33
13	La Solana W	30	7	7	16	32:37	28
14	Betis B W	30	8	4	18	33:55	28
15	Elche CF W	30	7	7	16	37:54	28
16	Castellon W	30	6	5	19	26:66	20