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Castellon W vs Elche CF W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda Division Women Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division Women game between Castellon W and Elche CF W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elche CF W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Castellon W
15%
Draws
57%
Elche CF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elche CF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Elche CF W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Elche CF W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Elche CF W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Castellon W Clean Sheet 10%
Elche CF W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon W Elche CF W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.73 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Elche CF W vs Castellon W
3:0
Feb 26, 2022 Segunda Division Women
Castellon W vs Elche CF W
1:3
Sep 26, 2021 Segunda Division Women
Elche CF W vs Castellon W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon W 10 / 100
Elche CF W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon W Elche CF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elche CF W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elche CF W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Elche CF W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Castellon W scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castellon W VS Elche CF W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon W

(Home)
07 Jan
Castellon W
0 : 8
Union Berlin W
29 Jul
Elche CF W
3 : 0
Castellon W
03 Aug
Villarreal W
6 : 0
Castellon W
28 May
Pozoalbense W
2 : 1
Castellon W
22 May
Castellon W
3 : 2
CD Juan Grande W
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Elche CF W

(Away)
30 Aug
Alhama W
2 : 0
Elche CF W
21 Aug
Elche CF W
6 : 1
Valencia 2 W
29 Jul
Elche CF W
3 : 0
Castellon W
19 Aug
Elche CF W
1 : 5
Albacete W
03 Aug
Levante W
1 : 0
Elche CF W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Badalona W 30 19 5 6 64:37 62
2 Espanyol W 30 17 7 6 50:34 58
3 CA Osasuna W 30 17 6 7 56:33 57
4 Logrono W 30 15 8 7 48:33 53
5 Barcelona B W 30 16 3 11 52:32 51
6 Dep. A Coruna W 30 15 6 9 49:29 51
7 SE AEM W 30 15 5 10 46:39 50
8 Real Oviedo W 30 14 4 12 38:36 46
9 Zaragoza CFF W 30 13 4 13 45:45 43
10 Athletic Bilbao B W 30 11 6 13 45:41 39
11 CD Parquesol CF W 30 11 5 14 41:51 38
12 Racing Santander W 30 10 8 12 37:44 38
13 Pradejon W 30 8 6 16 32:54 30
14 Atl. Madrid B W 30 9 3 18 35:60 30
15 Gijon W 30 6 5 19 33:53 23
16 Seagull W 30 2 3 25 23:73 9
Promotion - Liga F Women 2022/2023 (Main)
Relegation - Segunda Division Women (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alhama W 30 18 8 4 65:33 62
2 Cacereno W 30 15 8 7 53:39 53
3 Granada CF W 30 16 5 9 46:31 53
4 CD Juan Grande W 30 14 9 7 41:32 51
5 Granadilla Tenerife B W 30 14 5 11 36:33 47
6 Albacete W 30 14 5 11 62:51 47
7 Madrid CFF B W 30 13 7 10 54:46 46
8 Cordoba W 30 13 6 11 42:34 45
9 Santa Teresa W 30 10 14 6 38:30 44
10 Femarguin W 30 10 7 13 48:49 37
11 Real Union W 30 8 12 10 35:41 36
12 Pozoalbense W 30 8 9 13 40:57 33
13 La Solana W 30 7 7 16 32:37 28
14 Betis B W 30 8 4 18 33:55 28
15 Elche CF W 30 7 7 16 37:54 28
16 Castellon W 30 6 5 19 26:66 20
Promotion - Liga F Women 2022/2023 (Main)
Relegation - Segunda Division Women (Play Out)