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Castellonense vs Alzira Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Garijo I.
31' Event
Lidon G.
47' Event
Garcia C.

AI Match Summary

Castellonense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Castellonense
15%
Draws
21%
Alzira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Castellonense have won more games recently than Alzira.
  • Castellonense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Castellonense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%
Alzira Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellonense Alzira
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Alzira
4:1
Oct 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Castellonense
0:2
Aug 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Alzira vs Castellonense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Garijo I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lidon G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Alzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellonense 77 / 100
Alzira 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellonense Alzira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castellonense scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Alzira let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Castellonense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castellonense VS Alzira
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellonense

(Home)
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
19 Aug
Torrent
0 : 1
Castellonense
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Alzira

(Away)
09 May
CD Bunol
1 : 0
Alzira
02 May
Alzira
2 : 2
Utiel
26 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Alzira
19 Apr
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 0
Alzira
11 Apr
Alzira
1 : 0
Espanol de San Vicente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)