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Castellonense vs Ciudad Cieza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
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Match Events

90' Event
Garijo I.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 game between Castellonense and Ciudad Cieza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Castellonense
20%
Draws
32%
Ciudad Cieza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castellonense come out ahead of Ciudad Cieza on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellonense Ciudad Cieza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellonense vs Ciudad Cieza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Garijo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ciudad Cieza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellonense 41 / 100
Ciudad Cieza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellonense Ciudad Cieza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellonense's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ciudad Cieza let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Castellonense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Castellonense VS Ciudad Cieza
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellonense

(Home)
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
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Ciudad Cieza

(Away)
04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4
Ciudad Cieza
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
11 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
13 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 Valencia B 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
15 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)