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Stadium Background

Castellonense vs Roda

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lidon G.
41' Event
Garijo I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Castellonense and Roda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Castellonense
15%
Draws
51%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Roda haven't matched Castellonense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Castellonense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%
Roda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellonense Roda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Roda
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Castellonense
0:3
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Roda
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Castellonense
0:2
Mar 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Roda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lidon G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garijo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Roda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellonense 41 / 100
Roda 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellonense Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellonense found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Roda conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Roda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castellonense VS Roda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellonense

(Home)
09 May
Castellonense
0 : 1
Atzeneta
02 May
Hercules B
1 : 4
Castellonense
26 Apr
Castellonense
1 : 1
Atletico Saguntino
18 Apr
Castellonense
2 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
12 Apr
Villarreal C
3 : 0
Castellonense
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Roda

(Away)
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
02 May
Roda
0 : 1
Soneja
26 Apr
CD Bunol
0 : 1
Roda
18 Apr
Roda
3 : 1
Utiel
12 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Roda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)