Sport Picks
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Matese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 
Match Events
39'
39'
Coly K.
75'
75'
Ricamato V.
76'
76'
Coly K.
AI Match Summary
Castelnuovo Vomano in this Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castelnuovo Vomano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Matese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castelnuovo Vomano lately — more wins on the board than Matese.
- Win probability leans Castelnuovo Vomano's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Castelnuovo Vomano Clean Sheet 20%
Matese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castelnuovo Vomano | Matese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Matese
3:1
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Castelnuovo Vomano
2:1
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Matese
0:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Castelnuovo Vomano
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castelnuovo Vomano Compare
Top Goalscorer Coly K.
2 Goals Assists Leader D'Egidio S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Matese Compare
Top Goalscorer Ricamato V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castelnuovo Vomano 67 / 100
Matese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castelnuovo Vomano Matese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castelnuovo Vomano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Castelnuovo Vomano scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Matese let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Castelnuovo Vomano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Matese
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Castelnuovo Vomano
(Home) 29 May
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Castelnuovo Vomano
22 May
Vastogirardi
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
15 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 2 Montegiorgio
11 May
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
08 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 1 US Tolentino
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 2 Montegiorgio
08 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 1 US Tolentino
14 Apr
Castelnuovo Vomano
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
03 Apr
Castelnuovo Vomano
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
27 Mar
Castelnuovo Vomano
3 : 1 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 3
Matese
(Away) 05 May
Matese
0 : 0 Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0 Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2 Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0 Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0 Matese
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0 Matese
28 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 0 Matese
17 Mar
Avezzano
2 : 0 Matese
03 Mar
AS Sora
4 : 1 Matese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recanatese | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54:33 | 59 |
| 3 | US Tolentino | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 42:30 | 56 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 55 |
| 5 | Vastese | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 44:32 | 53 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Roma City | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 38:38 | 49 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 45:41 | 49 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 49 |
| 11 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:39 | 49 |
| 12 | Matese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:41 | 49 |
| 13 | Fano | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:39 | 48 |
| 14 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:51 | 46 |
| 15 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36:36 | 41 |
| 17 | Nereto | 34 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 23:80 | 12 |
| 18 | Alto Casertano | 34 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 21:81 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 (Play Out)
