Sport Picks
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between Castelnuovo Vomano and Porto Sant'Elpidio finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Porto Sant'Elpidio haven't matched Castelnuovo Vomano's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Castelnuovo Vomano Clean Sheet 20%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castelnuovo Vomano | Porto Sant'Elpidio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Castelnuovo Vomano
3:2
Feb 3, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castelnuovo Vomano 32 / 100
Porto Sant'Elpidio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castelnuovo Vomano Porto Sant'Elpidio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto Sant'Elpidio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Porto Sant'Elpidio conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Castelnuovo Vomano scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Castelnuovo Vomano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castelnuovo Vomano VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castelnuovo Vomano
(Home) 29 May
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Castelnuovo Vomano
22 May
Vastogirardi
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
15 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 2 Montegiorgio
11 May
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
08 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 1 US Tolentino
Page 1 of 7
15 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 2 Montegiorgio
08 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 1 US Tolentino
14 Apr
Castelnuovo Vomano
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
03 Apr
Castelnuovo Vomano
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
27 Mar
Castelnuovo Vomano
3 : 1 Calcio Chieti
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Porto Sant'Elpidio
(Away) 19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
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16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
19 May
Giulianova
2 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
16 May
Montegiorgio
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:29 | 72 |
| 2 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 59:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:33 | 56 |
| 4 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 51:35 | 56 |
| 5 | Matese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 46:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 62:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 53:53 | 50 |
| 9 | Vastese | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Rieti | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Aprilia | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 44 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 14 | US Tolentino | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52:53 | 40 |
| 15 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Porto Sant'Elpidio | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22:63 | 17 |
| 18 | Agnonese | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25:83 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
