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Castelo FC vs Vitoria ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2014 game between Castelo FC and Vitoria ES finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Castelo FC
6%
Draws
4%
Vitoria ES
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Castelo FC haven't matched Vitoria ES's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Castelo FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 15%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelo FC Vitoria ES
Matches Played 34 51
Wins 10 28
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2019 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Vitoria ES
0:4
May 2, 2015 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Vitoria ES
1:0
Apr 15, 2015 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Castelo FC
2:2
Apr 12, 2014 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Castelo FC
2:1
Feb 9, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Vitoria ES
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelo FC 84 / 100
Vitoria ES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelo FC Vitoria ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castelo FC scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Vitoria ES has conceded goals in 63% of their last 51 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Castelo FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria ES
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelo FC

(Home)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
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Vitoria ES

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 11

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus1686226:1130
2Linhares Futebol Clube1693428:1730
3Estrela do Norte1685322:1329
4Castelo FC1676328:2027
5Vitoria ES1664626:2322
6Real Noroeste1656520:1921
7Desportiva Ferroviaria1663721:2221
8Colatina SE1634916:3313
9Conilon16111410:394
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2014 (Play Offs)