Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Castelvetro and Colligiana finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castelvetro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Colligiana haven't matched Castelvetro's recent run of results.
- Castelvetro are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 20%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castelvetro | Colligiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Colligiana
1:1
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Castelvetro
1:2
Jan 8, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Colligiana
1:2
Sep 4, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Castelvetro
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castelvetro 36 / 100
Colligiana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castelvetro Colligiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colligiana has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Castelvetro scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Colligiana lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castelvetro VS Colligiana
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castelvetro
(Home) 21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0 Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2 Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0 Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3 Castelvetro
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20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2 Mezzolara
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1 Colligiana
29 Mar
Castelvetro
0 : 3 Vigor Carpaneto
18 Mar
Castelvetro
3 : 2 Sangiovannese
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Colligiana
(Away) 27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0 Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2 Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1 Colligiana
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27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0 Colligiana
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Colligiana
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1 Colligiana
29 Mar
Fiorenzuola
1 : 0 Colligiana
18 Mar
Correggese
1 : 1 Colligiana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rimini | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:38 | 80 |
| 2 | Imolese | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60:43 | 65 |
| 4 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 50:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Sangiovannese | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Lentigione | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 45:33 | 60 |
| 7 | Villabiagio | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 52:49 | 59 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 54:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 10 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 49:42 | 54 |
| 11 | Sammaurese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 34:29 | 54 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Vigor Carpaneto | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 14 | Tuttocuoio | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 25:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 36:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Castelvetro | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 46:62 | 38 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 34:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40:62 | 33 |
| 19 | Correggese | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37:55 | 32 |
| 20 | Colligiana | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
