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Castilleja CF vs CD Alcala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

Castilleja CF in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castilleja CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Castilleja CF
15%
Draws
51%
CD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Castilleja CF.
  • Win probability leans Castilleja CF's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castilleja CF CD Alcala
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.94 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Castilleja CF
1:0
Nov 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs CD Alcala
2:2
Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs CD Alcala
2:1
Oct 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Castilleja CF
1:3
Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Castilleja CF
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castilleja CF 42 / 100
CD Alcala 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castilleja CF CD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Alcala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Castilleja CF scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Castilleja CF VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castilleja CF

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
Page 1 of 7

CD Alcala

(Away)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)