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Castilleja CF vs Linense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Matos D.
90' Event
El Manssouri Z.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Castilleja CF and Linense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Castilleja CF
20%
Draws
40%
Linense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Linense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Castilleja CF a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 68%
Linense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castilleja CF Linense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Linense
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Linense vs Castilleja CF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castilleja CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Linense Compare

Top Goalscorer El Manssouri Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castilleja CF 50 / 100
Linense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castilleja CF Linense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castilleja CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Linense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Castilleja CF scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Linense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castilleja CF VS Linense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castilleja CF

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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Linense

(Away)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Atletico Central
2 : 1
Linense
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
19 Apr
Dos Hermanas
2 : 0
Linense
12 Apr
Linense
0 : 0
Cadiz B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)