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Castillo CF vs CD Laguna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 game between Castillo CF and CD Laguna finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castillo CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Castillo CF
30%
Draws
8%
CD Laguna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Castillo CF haven't matched CD Laguna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Castillo CF a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 17%
CD Laguna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castillo CF CD Laguna
Matches Played 36 39
Wins 13 16
Draws 15 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs CD Laguna
0:3
Sep 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Laguna vs Castillo CF
1:1
Mar 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs CD Laguna
1:0
Oct 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Laguna vs Castillo CF
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castillo CF 84 / 100
CD Laguna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castillo CF CD Laguna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castillo CF's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

CD Laguna has conceded goals in 67% of their last 39 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Castillo CF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Laguna
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castillo CF

(Home)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
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CD Laguna

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
CD Laguna
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
19 Sept
Los Llanos
2 : 1
CD Laguna
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
10 Sept
CD Laguna
1 : 2
Toledo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 38 24 9 5 75:27 81
2 SD Tenisca 38 23 11 4 65:27 80
3 Castillo CF 38 20 9 9 60:32 69
4 Mensajero 38 20 6 12 48:33 66
5 CD Laguna 38 16 11 11 52:33 59
6 Los Llanos 38 14 14 10 57:43 56
7 Galdar 38 14 12 12 40:41 54
8 Atletico Granadilla 38 16 6 16 51:43 54
9 CD Marino 38 15 8 15 45:51 53
10 UD Realejos 38 14 10 14 42:45 52
11 Orientacion Maritima 38 13 11 14 51:52 50
12 Victoria CD 38 13 10 15 48:54 49
13 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 13 7 18 40:52 46
14 Tijarafe 38 11 13 14 44:49 46
15 Las Zocas 38 12 9 17 40:54 45
16 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 8 18 12 42:52 42
17 AD Huracan 38 12 4 22 42:64 40
18 UD Tegueste 38 10 9 19 44:55 39
19 Arguineguin 38 9 8 21 41:67 35
20 CD Teguise 38 6 9 23 31:84 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)