Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castillo CF vs Orientacion Maritima

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castillo CF in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castillo CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Castillo CF
35%
Draws
25%
Orientacion Maritima
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orientacion Maritima lately — more wins on the board than Castillo CF.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Castillo CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 20%
Orientacion Maritima Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castillo CF Orientacion Maritima
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 14 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Orientacion Maritima
3:0
Oct 31, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Castillo CF
0:0
May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Orientacion Maritima
2:0
Jan 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Castillo CF
1:0
Feb 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Castillo CF
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castillo CF 85 / 100
Orientacion Maritima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castillo CF Orientacion Maritima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orientacion Maritima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Castillo CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Castillo CF's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orientacion Maritima
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castillo CF

(Home)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
Page 1 of 6

Orientacion Maritima

(Away)
15 May
UD Realejos
2 : 5
Orientacion Maritima
08 May
Orientacion Maritima
1 : 1
Atletico Granadilla
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
21 Apr
Orientacion Maritima
0 : 0
Las Zocas
17 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 38 24 9 5 75:27 81
2 SD Tenisca 38 23 11 4 65:27 80
3 Castillo CF 38 20 9 9 60:32 69
4 Mensajero 38 20 6 12 48:33 66
5 CD Laguna 38 16 11 11 52:33 59
6 Los Llanos 38 14 14 10 57:43 56
7 Galdar 38 14 12 12 40:41 54
8 Atletico Granadilla 38 16 6 16 51:43 54
9 CD Marino 38 15 8 15 45:51 53
10 UD Realejos 38 14 10 14 42:45 52
11 Orientacion Maritima 38 13 11 14 51:52 50
12 Victoria CD 38 13 10 15 48:54 49
13 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 13 7 18 40:52 46
14 Tijarafe 38 11 13 14 44:49 46
15 Las Zocas 38 12 9 17 40:54 45
16 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 8 18 12 42:52 42
17 AD Huracan 38 12 4 22 42:64 40
18 UD Tegueste 38 10 9 19 44:55 39
19 Arguineguin 38 9 8 21 41:67 35
20 CD Teguise 38 6 9 23 31:84 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)