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Castillo CF vs UD Balos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2007/2008
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2007/2008 game between Castillo CF and UD Balos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castillo CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Castillo CF
20%
Draws
34%
UD Balos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Castillo CF's 1.06 goals per match outpaces what UD Balos have produced (1.03).
  • Win probability leans Castillo CF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 20%
UD Balos Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castillo CF UD Balos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 14 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs UD Balos
2:1
Sep 7, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Balos vs Castillo CF
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castillo CF 85 / 100
UD Balos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castillo CF UD Balos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Balos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Castillo CF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: UD Balos has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Castillo CF VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castillo CF

(Home)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
Page 1 of 7

UD Balos

(Away)
17 May
UD Balos
2 : 0
CD Marino
11 May
Las Zocas
3 : 1
UD Balos
03 May
UD Balos
3 : 2
AD Laguna
26 Apr
Victoria CD
7 : 1
UD Balos
19 Apr
UD Balos
1 : 3
Atletico Granadilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Granadilla 38 20 14 4 68:36 74
2 Las Palmas B 38 21 10 7 60:36 73
3 Galdar 38 22 7 9 47:25 73
4 Castillo CF 38 20 8 10 58:36 68
5 Las Zocas 38 17 9 12 56:42 60
6 SD Tenisca 38 16 9 13 46:39 57
7 CD Teguise 38 14 15 9 33:26 57
8 Orientacion Maritima 38 16 9 13 53:50 57
9 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 15 11 12 47:45 56
10 AD Laguna 38 16 7 15 55:43 55
11 Victoria CD 38 12 13 13 55:48 49
12 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 11 14 13 36:48 47
13 Tenerife B 38 12 10 16 42:46 46
14 Tijarafe 38 12 9 17 44:55 45
15 UD Tegueste 38 11 12 15 36:44 45
16 CF Union Antigua 38 11 11 16 35:42 44
17 CD Marino 38 12 7 19 42:46 43
18 UD Balos 38 9 10 19 38:62 37
19 Ibarra 38 10 4 24 36:61 34
20 Atletico Arona 38 4 9 25 34:91 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)